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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5) 90% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5) 90% Volume: $274K Liquidity: $448K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs BESTIA (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs BESTIA (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs BESTIA (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-7.5) vs BESTIA (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-8.5) vs BESTIA (+8.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-11.5) vs BESTIA (+11.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-9.5) vs BESTIA (+9.5)90%
Match Winner88%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-8.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+8.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-9.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+9.5)55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs BESTIA (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs BESTIA (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.545%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-12.5) vs BESTIA (+12.5)45%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between KRÜ Esports and BESTIA in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 13 at 5:00PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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