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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 61% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 52% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $58K Liquidity: $163K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.552%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Match Winner48%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.548%
Map 1 Winner47%
Map 2 Winner47%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)41%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)41%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)41%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)28%

Market context

Market consensus: 62% chance of valorant: karmine corp vs team liquid (bo3) - vct emea group omega. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 1 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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