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Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Live odds for "Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 98% Map 2 Winner 94% Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) 93% Volume: $260K Liquidity: $591K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner98%
Map 2 Winner94%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)93%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.570%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.556%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.528%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)10%
O/U 2.5 Games7%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)2%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: fut esports vs eternal fire (bo3) - vct emea play-ins. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between FUT Esports and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

We track Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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