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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 98% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) 97% Volume: $239K Liquidity: $648K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.598%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)97%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.591%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-7.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-8.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+8.5)90%
Match Winner83%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: W7M (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Cloud9 and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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