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San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score

Comparison of odds and platforms for "San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Any Other Score 56% San Marino 1 - 2 Albania 25% San Marino 2 - 2 Albania 25% San Marino 3 - 2 Albania 25% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $38K Closes: 29 Sept 2026
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San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score56%
San Marino 1 - 2 Albania25%
San Marino 2 - 2 Albania25%
San Marino 3 - 2 Albania25%
San Marino 3 - 3 Albania25%
San Marino 0 - 3 Albania18%
San Marino 1 - 3 Albania15%
San Marino 0 - 2 Albania7%
San Marino 2 - 3 Albania1%
San Marino 0 - 0 Albania0%
San Marino 0 - 1 Albania0%
San Marino 1 - 0 Albania0%
San Marino 1 - 1 Albania0%
San Marino 2 - 0 Albania0%
San Marino 2 - 1 Albania0%
San Marino 3 - 0 Albania0%
San Marino 3 - 1 Albania0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, san marino vs. albania - exact score stands at 56% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between San Marino and Albania, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sa…

Methodology

This page reviews San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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