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UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Live odds for "UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 76% O/U 1.5 Rounds 61% Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore 50% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds76%
O/U 1.5 Rounds61%
Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore50%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds42%
Fight won by submission?41%
Fight won by KO/TKO?40%
Gore to win by KO/TKO?29%
Luque to win by KO/TKO?28%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 76% probability to ufc 330: vicente luque vs. tresean gore (middleweight, early prelims). This market will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tresean Gore at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 76% for "UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $97K.

Methodology

We track UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims) across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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