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UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% O/U 2.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $297K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Ricci to win by KO/TKO?0%
Kline to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve to "Tabatha Ricci" if Tabatha Ricci is officially declared the winner of the fight against Fatima Kline at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight to Go the Distance? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)".

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $297K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Wom… on Kalshi Fees

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Related Topics

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