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UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Live odds for "UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 90% O/U 1.5 Rounds 73% O/U 2.5 Rounds 73% O/U 3.5 Rounds 70% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $124K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds90%
O/U 1.5 Rounds73%
O/U 2.5 Rounds73%
O/U 3.5 Rounds70%
Fight to Go the Distance?68%
O/U 4.5 Rounds67%
Fight won by KO/TKO?28%
Fight won by submission?28%
Yadong to win by KO/TKO?27%
Nurmagomedov to win by KO/TKO?26%
Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov18%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to ufc fight night: song yadong vs. umar nurmagomedov (bantamweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 90% for "UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 90% Other 10%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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