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UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 99% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Kuniev to win by KO/TKO? 50% Volume: $191K Liquidity: $202K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?99%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
Kuniev to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fortune to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds25%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: rizvan kuniev vs. tyrell fortune (heavyweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Rizvan Kuniev" if Rizvan Kuniev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tyrell Fortune at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25,…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)".

Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $191K.

Methodology

We track UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card) across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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