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UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki 70% O/U 1.5 Rounds 69% O/U 0.5 Rounds 53% O/U 2.5 Rounds 50% Volume: $159K Liquidity: $140K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki70%
O/U 1.5 Rounds69%
O/U 0.5 Rounds53%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%
Fight to Go the Distance?49%
Fight won by KO/TKO?28%
Zaynukov to win by KO/TKO?22%
Fight won by submission?11%
Rzepecki to win by KO/TKO?8%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: magomed zaynukov vs. damian rzepecki (lightweight, main card) stands at 70% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Magomed Zaynukov" if Magomed Zaynukov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Rzepecki at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki at 70% for "UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)".

Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $159K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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