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UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Comparison of odds and platforms for "UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli 100% Ends before Round 2? 60% Ends before Round 3? 51% O/U 0.5 Rounds 50% Volume: $615K Liquidity: $503 Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli100%
Ends before Round 2?60%
Ends before Round 3?51%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds45%
O/U 2.5 Rounds45%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Akylbek Uulu to win by KO/TKO?0%
Osmanli to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
Fight won by decision?0%
Akylbek Uulu in Round 10%
Akylbek Uulu in Round 20%
Akylbek Uulu in Round 30%
Osmanli in Round 10%
Osmanli in Round 20%
Osmanli in Round 30%
Decision or Draw0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: ilimbek akylbek uulu vs. mehemmedeli osmanli (bantamweight, main card) stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu" if Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mehemmedeli Osmanli at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)".

Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $615K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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