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UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 74% Fight won by KO/TKO? 66% Ribovics to win by KO/TKO? 64% O/U 1.5 Rounds 58% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $129K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds74%
Fight won by KO/TKO?66%
Ribovics to win by KO/TKO?64%
O/U 1.5 Rounds58%
O/U 2.5 Rounds38%
Fight to Go the Distance?29%
Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics14%
Barboza to win by KO/TKO?9%
Fight won by submission?9%

Market context

UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) — current market-implied probability: 74%. This market will resolve to "Edson Barboza" if Edson Barboza is officially declared the winner of the fight against Esteban Ribovics at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 74% for "UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $120K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightwe… on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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