Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight,… | Kalshifees 2026

Name: UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)
Start: 2026-08-09T22:00:19.000Z
End: 2026-08-16T03:59:59.999Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	51%	49%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Place a position →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	51%	49%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Place a position →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Place a position →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Place a position →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 1.5 Rounds	51%
O/U 2.5 Rounds	51%
Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa	50%
Fight to Go the Distance?	50%
Fight won by KO/TKO?	50%
Johnson to win by KO/TKO?	50%
Ochoa to win by KO/TKO?	50%
Fight won by submission?	50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds	50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 51% YES probability for UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 202…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 1.5 Rounds at 51% for "UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)".

O/U 1.5 Rounds 51% Other 49%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Alex ChenPrediction Market Analystand

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, … on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, … on Kalshi Fees

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