🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogPlace a position →

UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Hasan to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $237K Liquidity: $4K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
Open live market →
UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Hasan to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Rojas to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: bilal hasan vs. nilson rojas (flyweight, main card) stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Bilal Hasan" if Bilal Hasan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nilson Rojas at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled fo…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)".

Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $237K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flywe… on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports UFC Prediction Markets