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MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia

Five-platform snapshot of "MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

PFK CSKA Sofia 92% Draw 9% MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1% Volume: $248K Liquidity: $101K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
PFK CSKA Sofia92%
Draw9%
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv1%

Market context

Market consensus: 92% chance of mh maccabi tel aviv vs. pfk cska sofia. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, August 6, 2026 between MH Maccabi Tel Aviv and PFK CSKA Sofia.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices PFK CSKA Sofia at 92% for "MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia".

PFK CSKA Sofia 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $248K.

Methodology

This page reviews MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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