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Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 96% Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.5 87% O/U 1.5 81% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 79% Volume: $41K Liquidity: $387K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.587%
O/U 1.581%
2nd Half O/U 0.579%
1st Half O/U 0.578%
Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 0.565%
Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.564%
AC Sparta Praha O/U 0.564%
O/U 2.559%
Team to Advance59%
Olympique Lyonnais 2nd Half O/U 0.556%
Both Teams to Score55%
2nd Half O/U 1.549%
AC Sparta Praha 2nd Half O/U 0.546%
Olympique Lyonnais 2nd Half O/U 1.543%
Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)40%
1st Half O/U 1.538%
O/U 3.535%
Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.533%
AC Sparta Praha 1st Half O/U 0.531%
AC Sparta Praha 2nd Half O/U 1.531%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half28%
AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.524%
Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 1.524%
2nd Half O/U 2.523%
Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)21%
Both Teams to Score in First Half20%
O/U 4.518%
1st Half O/U 2.516%
O/U 5.510%
AC Sparta Praha O/U 2.58%
AC Sparta Praha 1st Half O/U 1.57%
AC Sparta Praha (-1.5)6%
AC Sparta Praha (-2.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to olympique lyonnais vs. ac sparta praha - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for August 11 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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