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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 96% Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5 83% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 83% O/U 1.5 82% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $103K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.583%
2nd Half O/U 0.583%
O/U 1.582%
1st Half O/U 0.576%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 0.571%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.564%
O/U 2.563%
Both Teams to Score62%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.556%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.556%
2nd Half O/U 1.553%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
1st Half O/U 1.543%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 0.542%
O/U 3.540%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 1.537%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half34%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.531%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)30%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.529%
2nd Half O/U 2.526%
Both Teams to Score in First Half24%
O/U 4.522%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.521%
1st Half O/U 2.517%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2nd Half O/U 1.516%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)14%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 2.514%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 1.512%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)10%
O/U 5.510%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-2.5)5%
Team to Advance5%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, heart of midlothian fc vs. sk puntigamer sturm graz - more markets stands at 96% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 28 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
and

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Related Topics

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