CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

The Peru Liga 1 Clausura fixture between CD Los Chankas and Sport Boys Association, scheduled for Sunday 19 July 2026 at Estadio Los Chankas, has already concluded with a 1–0 victory for the home side. This result confirms the real-world outcome that underpins the prediction market’s 100% YES probability, meaning the event is settled factually rather than speculative.

Historically, Liga 1 opening matches in the Clausura tournament often feature tight, low-scoring affairs where home advantage proves decisive; Los Chankas’ 1–0 win mirrors similar outcomes from recent seasons where local teams secured narrow victories in the first round. Comparable cases from the 2024 and 2025 Clausura editions show that home sides in Fecha 1 frequently win by a single goal, reinforcing how the current probability aligns with established tournament patterns rather than anomalous data.

Traders approaching this market programmatically should monitor official match reports, goal timestamps, and post-game disciplinary records as primary settlement dependencies. Key catalysts include the confirmation of the final score via Liga 1’s official portal and broadcast verification through L1 Max or L1 Play, which serve as the authoritative sources for resolution. A recent ESPN match report and 365scores confirmation both corroborate the 1–0 result, eliminating ambiguity for automated settlement bots or conditional order triggers [1][2]. No further announcements are expected, as the event has passed its settlement window.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.