North America Regional Qualifier: Qualify to The International

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the North American Regional Qualifier for The International 2026, a single Dota 2 tournament slot decided between 24 June and 27 June 2026, with the winner advancing to the global Group Stage. Today, the market sits at 0% YES, reflecting a near-total consensus that no North American team will qualify, a stance that mirrors historical patterns where the region has struggled to secure direct invites or win regional qualifiers in recent years. For instance, in TI 2024 and TI 2025, North America failed to produce a single Group Stage participant from its regional qualifier, a trend that has persisted since the introduction of the unified regional system in 2023[3].

Programmatically, a trader would approach this market by monitoring official announcement channels for schedule changes, team withdrawals, or cancellations, as the market resolves to "Other" if the qualifier is postponed or if the Group Stage list is unpublished before 15 August 2026[2]. Key catalysts include the final team roster confirmations, the start time of the qualifier (which kicked off in approximately six hours as of the latest update), and any dependencies on server stability or third-party organisers like PGL[4][5]. A recent announcement from Dota 2 confirmed the qualifier schedule and the single slot available for North America, reinforcing the high stakes and the region’s narrow path to qualification[2]. Traders should also watch for real-time bracket updates and match results, as these will directly determine the qualifier winner and, consequently, the market resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.