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Vikings vs. Broncos

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Vikings vs. Broncos" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Spread -4.5 100% O/U 39.5 100% Spread -6.5 100% Broncos O/U 22.5 100% Volume: $82K Liquidity: $205K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Vikings vs. Broncos

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Broncos O/U 22.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
Broncos O/U 21.5100%
Broncos O/U 20.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
O/U 19.5100%
O/U 21.5100%
O/U 23.5100%
O/U 25.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
Broncos O/U 15.5100%
Broncos O/U 18.5100%
Broncos O/U 24.5100%
Broncos O/U 27.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
Broncos 1H O/U 8.5100%
Broncos 1H O/U 10.5100%
Broncos 1H O/U 12.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q O/U 1.5100%
1Q O/U 4.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H O/U 10.5100%
2H O/U 13.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 21+90%
Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Broncos Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Vikings vs. Broncos: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.550%
Vikings vs. Broncos: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 25+10%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 19-2410%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 13-1810%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-1210%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-610%
Exact Margin: Tie10%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 1-610%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 7-1310%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 14-2010%
Vikings O/U 16.51%
Vikings O/U 17.51%
Vikings O/U 11.51%
Vikings O/U 14.51%
Vikings O/U 20.51%
Vikings O/U 23.51%
2H O/U 22.51%
Vikings vs. Broncos0%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
2H Moneyline0%
1H Moneyline0%
Vikings 1H O/U 6.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 8.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
2H O/U 16.50%
2H O/U 19.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, vikings vs. broncos stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 9:00PM ET: If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -4.5 at 100% for "Vikings vs. Broncos".

Spread -4.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $82K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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