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Lions vs. Bengals

Five-platform snapshot of "Lions vs. Bengals" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread -3.5 67% Spread -7.5 61% Spread -4.5 60% Spread -6.5 54% Volume: $166K Liquidity: $431K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Lions vs. Bengals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -3.567%
Spread -7.561%
Spread -4.560%
Spread -6.554%
Bengals O/U 22.550%
Lions O/U 15.550%
Lions O/U 16.550%
Lions O/U 14.550%
Bengals O/U 23.550%
O/U 37.527%
O/U 38.523%
Lions vs. Bengals21%
1H O/U 20.51%
1H Spread -6.51%
1H Moneyline1%

Market context

Lions vs. Bengals — current market-implied probability: 67%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 13 at 7:00PM ET: If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If the game is postponed, this…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -3.5 at 67% for "Lions vs. Bengals".

Spread -3.5 67% Other 33%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $166K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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