Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Germie Bernard: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ben Skowronek: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Drew Sample: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ben Skowronek: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Chase Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Colbie Young: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Darnell Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Darnell Washington: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Dohnte Meyers: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Dohnte Meyers: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Drew Sample: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jack Endries: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jack Endries: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Kaden Wetjen: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Kaden Wetjen: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Robert Tonyan: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Robert Tonyan: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Roman Wilson: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tahj Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tahj Brooks: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tee Higgins: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Travis Homer: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Travis Homer: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Ben Skowronek: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Darnell Washington: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Dohnte Meyers: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Jack Endries: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Kaden Wetjen: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn Williams: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Robert Tonyan: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Tahj Brooks: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Tee Higgins: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Travis Homer: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Lew Nichols: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tanner Hudson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Lew Nichols: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Tanner Hudson: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Lew Nichols III: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Lew Nichols III: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Bengals vs. Steelers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Bengals and Steelers, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bengals vs. Steelers - Player Props on Kalshi Fees
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