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Falcons vs. Dolphins

Five-platform snapshot of "Falcons vs. Dolphins" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 16.5 100% O/U 18.5 100% O/U 20.5 100% O/U 22.5 100% Volume: $174K Liquidity: $662K Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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Falcons vs. Dolphins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 16.5100%
O/U 18.5100%
O/U 20.5100%
O/U 22.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q O/U 1.5100%
1Q O/U 4.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
Falcons vs. Dolphins99%
Falcons O/U 14.590%
Falcons 1H O/U 8.590%
Falcons 1H O/U 10.590%
Falcons 1H O/U 12.590%
Spread -3.575%
Spread -1.571%
Spread -2.569%
Spread -4.561%
O/U 28.556%
Dolphins O/U 10.556%
Dolphins O/U 16.550%
Falcons O/U 20.550%
O/U 32.550%
O/U 40.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 46.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 52.550%
O/U 56.550%
Dolphins O/U 13.550%
Dolphins O/U 19.550%
Dolphins O/U 22.550%
Falcons O/U 17.550%
Falcons O/U 23.550%
Falcons O/U 26.550%
Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Tie50%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 21+50%
Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Dolphins Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.550%
Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H O/U 9.550%
2H O/U 12.550%
2H O/U 15.550%
2H O/U 18.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
Spread -5.537%
Spread -6.534%
O/U 30.527%
O/U 34.513%
O/U 35.511%
O/U 36.510%
O/U 38.57%
O/U 37.57%
O/U 42.55%
O/U 54.54%
O/U 48.52%
Dolphins 1H O/U 6.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 8.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, falcons vs. dolphins stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:00PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins". If t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 16.5 at 100% for "Falcons vs. Dolphins".

O/U 16.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $174K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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