Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Sporting Kansas City O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sporting Kansas City O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Sporting Kansas City 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sporting Kansas City 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Sporting Kansas City (-1.5) | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Sporting Kansas City (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Sporting Kansas City O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sporting Kansas City 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sporting Kansas City 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, st. louis city sc vs. sporting kansas city - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 16 at 8:30 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City - More Ma… on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →