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St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees

Comparison of odds and platforms for "St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 62% O/U 7.5 55% NRFI 50% Volume: $147K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.562%
O/U 7.555%
NRFI50%
Spread -1.548%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.548%
O/U 8.546%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.541%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.537%
O/U 9.537%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees36%
Spread -2.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.526%
Spread -1.526%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
Spread -2.517%
Extra Innings6%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, st. louis cardinals vs. new york yankees stands at 75% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 4 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Lo…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 75% for "St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $147K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports