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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

How the prediction-market book is pricing "San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 77% Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 2.5 72% San Diego Padres O/U 2.5 67% Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 3.5 64% Volume: $196K Liquidity: $171K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Diego Padres O/U 1.577%
Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 2.572%
San Diego Padres O/U 2.567%
Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 3.564%
San Diego Padres O/U 3.560%
Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 4.557%
San Diego Padres O/U 4.555%
Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 5.554%
San Diego Padres O/U 5.552%
Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 6.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 5.546%
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers41%
Spread -1.537%
O/U 6.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.529%
O/U 7.526%
Spread -1.526%
Spread -2.525%
O/U 8.519%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.518%
Spread -2.516%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.513%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.59%
NRFI0%

Market context

Market consensus: 77% chance of san diego padres vs. los angeles dodgers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 24 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 at 77% for "San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers".

San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $196K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports