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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians

Live odds for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 54% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 53% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 53% 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 51% Volume: $63K Liquidity: $83K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.554%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.553%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.553%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.548%
Extra Innings48%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians45%
NRFI45%
O/U 7.545%
Spread -1.537%
Spread -1.533%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 54% YES probability for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 17 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 54% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians".

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 54% Other 46%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $63K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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