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Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants

Five-platform snapshot of "Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 59% O/U 7.5 53% Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants 52% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.571%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.559%
O/U 7.553%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants52%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.547%
NRFI45%
O/U 8.543%
Spread -1.540%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.534%
O/U 9.533%
Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.529%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.524%
Spread -2.521%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants — current market-implied probability: 71%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 29 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the g…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 71% for "Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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