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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% Seattle Mariners O/U 2.5 70% O/U 6.5 60% Volume: $129K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.570%
Seattle Mariners O/U 2.570%
O/U 6.560%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 2.559%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
Seattle Mariners O/U 3.555%
NRFI47%
O/U 7.546%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 3.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.542%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners41%
Spread -1.541%
Seattle Mariners O/U 4.541%
O/U 8.539%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.535%
Seattle Mariners O/U 5.535%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 4.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
Seattle Mariners O/U 6.531%
Spread -2.530%
Spread -1.528%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 5.527%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.522%
Spread -2.520%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.519%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 80% YES probability for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 26 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 at 80% for "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners".

Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 80% Other 20%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $129K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports