Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | 100% |
| NRFI | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Colorado Rockies O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Colorado Rockies O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Colorado Rockies O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Colorado Rockies O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Colorado Rockies O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Extra Innings | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 21.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of arizona diamondbacks vs. colorado rockies. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 24 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $644K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies on Kalshi Fees
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