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LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $968K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon91%
First Blood in Game 1?91%
Match Winner80%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3?78%
Odd/Even Total Kills58%
Game 4 Winner56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 3?49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
O/U 4.5 Games44%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?37%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)32%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 3?26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?10%
Odd/Even Total Kills9%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 3 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: LLL (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: los vs loud (bo5) - cblol playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Final match between LOS and LOUD in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

We track LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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