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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 58% Any Player Penta Kill 51% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $752K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?58%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?50%
Game 2 Winner47%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)30%
Match Winner26%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)6%
Game 1 Winner1%

Market context

The LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and Weibo Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for July 25 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if I…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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