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Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 78% Draw 19% Urawa Red Diamonds 6% Volume: $71K Liquidity: $273K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima78%
Draw19%
Urawa Red Diamonds6%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima. This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 between Urawa Red Diamonds and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 78% for "Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima".

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 78% Other 22%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $71K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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