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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova

Five-platform snapshot of "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 Winner 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $535K Liquidity: $493K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 Winner100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Match O/U 21.588%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Match O/U 23.586%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Match O/U 22.575%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova4%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set Handicap +/-1.51%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to mubadala citi dc open: cristina bucsa vs polina kudermetova. This market refers to the tennis match between Cristina Bucsa and Polina Kudermetova in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'C…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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