Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun | 100% |
| Kayla McBride: Points O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 165.5 | 100% |
| Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| O/U 167.5 | 0% |
| Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Courtney Williams: Points O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Natasha Howard: Points O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Nia Coffey: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Nia Coffey: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Brittney Griner: Points O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Nia Coffey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| O/U 168.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Brittney Griner: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 166.5 | 0% |
| Courtney Williams: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Natasha Howard: Points O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Nia Coffey: Points O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 8 at 7:30PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticu…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $347K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →