Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
20% | 80% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
20% | 80% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Baltimore Ravens | 20% YES | 80% NO |
| Carolina Panthers | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Dallas Cowboys | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Miami Dolphins | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Brandon Aiyuk, the San Francisco 49ers wide receiver, is widely expected to leave the franchise after six seasons, with current reports suggesting a potential move to a new team for the 2026 campaign[2][3]. The 20% YES probability on a new team signing reflects a situation where contract guarantees have been voided, hinting at a separation, yet the final destination remains uncertain[2].
Historically, NFL wide receivers in similar contract limbo often face a split between staying with their original team or joining a contender, but Aiyuk’s specific case is framed by his desire to reunite with former teammate Jayden Daniels in Washington[2]. Comparable cases show that when a player’s contract guarantees are voided, the likelihood of a move increases significantly, though the Washington Commanders have emerged as a favoured destination, potentially skewing the probability if the deal materialises[2].
Traders should monitor official signing announcements, the NFL Draft schedule, and dependencies such as the Commanders’ roster moves, as these will dictate the market resolution[2]. Recent reports from Yahoo Sports indicate that Aiyuk is keen on joining Washington, making this a critical catalyst to watch for any programmematic trading strategies[2]. The market will resolve to “Other” if he does not join a listed team, is released, or retires by the close date[2].
Methodology
This page reviews Where will Brandon Aiyuk play in 2026-27? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Where will Brandon Aiyuk play in 2026-27? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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