Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Match Winner | 76% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5) | 46% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: team vitality vs nongshim redforce (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 3 match between Team Vitality and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will r…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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