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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Team Heretics vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5) 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Volume: $332K Liquidity: $581K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-6.5) vs Team Heretics (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-7.5) vs Team Heretics (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-8.5) vs Team Heretics (+8.5)55%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-9.5) vs Team Heretics (+9.5)55%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-10.5) vs Team Heretics (+10.5)55%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.545%
Match Winner18%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: team heretics vs fire flux esports (bo3) - vct emea play-ins. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Team Heretics and Fire Flux Esports in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 9 at 11:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Team Heretics vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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