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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $221K Liquidity: $266K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs XLG Gaming (+8.5)90%
Match Winner83%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.574%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.563%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs XLG Gaming (+9.5)53%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-11.5) vs XLG Gaming (+11.5)53%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.552%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.548%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-12.5) vs XLG Gaming (+12.5)48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5)26%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5)26%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)26%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)1%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and XLG Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 3 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" …

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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