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Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 59% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $239K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.559%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Winner49%
Map 2 Winner49%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Match Winner46%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5)44%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.543%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5)39%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5)39%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)37%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)37%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)35%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)27%
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)25%

Market context

Market consensus: 62% chance of valorant: fnatic vs team heretics (bo3) - vct emea group omega. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Fnatic and Team Heretics in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 2 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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