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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 75% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 75% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $602K Liquidity: $285K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.575%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.575%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)50%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)46%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Map 2 Winner40%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Match Winner32%
Map 1 Winner31%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to valorant: eternal fire vs team heretics (bo3) - vct emea group omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between Eternal Fire and Team Heretics in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 23 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" …

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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