Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa | Kalshifees 2026

Name: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa
Start: 2026-07-30T18:45:18.000Z
End: 2026-08-12T19:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	56%	44%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Place a position →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	56%	44%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Place a position →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Place a position →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Place a position →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Paris Saint-Germain	56%
Draw	25%
Aston Villa	20%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 56% YES probability for Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa. This event is for the upcoming UEFA Super Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 12, 2026 between Paris Saint-Germain and Aston Villa.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Paris Saint-Germain at 56% for "Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa".

Paris Saint-Germain 56% Other 44%

The prediction market consensus for this UEFA CHAMPIONS match sits at 56% YES — the aggregated signal of thousands of traders on the Polymarket order book. Unlike bookmaker odds, this price contains no house margin.

Team Statistics

PassPct

0.9 PSG / 0.7 ARSENAL

AccurateCrosses

5 PSG / 2 ARSENAL

TotalCrosses

34 PSG / 14 ARSENAL

CrossPct

0.1 PSG / 0.1 ARSENAL

TotalLongBalls

47 PSG / 64 ARSENAL

AccurateLongBalls

19 PSG / 22 ARSENAL

Match Events

6' ⚽ Goal Kai Havertz ARSENAL

46' 🟨 Yellow Cristhian Mosquera ARSENAL

54' 🟨 Yellow Bukayo Saka ARSENAL

65' 🟥 Red Ousmane Dembélé PARISSAINTGERMAIN

90'+6' 🟨 Yellow João Neves PARISSAINTGERMAIN

98' 🟨 Yellow Viktor Gyökeres ARSENAL

103' 🟨 Yellow Declan Rice ARSENAL

118' 🟨 Yellow Nuno Mendes PARISSAINTGERMAIN

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Alex ChenPrediction Market Analystand

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Team Statistics

Match Events

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa on Kalshi Fees

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