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UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Jackson to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $211K Liquidity: $418 Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Jackson to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
Ends before Round 3?100%
Jackson in Round 2100%
Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Simon to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by decision?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Simon in Round 10%
Simon in Round 20%
Simon in Round 30%
Jackson in Round 10%
Jackson in Round 30%
Decision or Draw0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: ricky simon vs. montel jackson (bantamweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Ricky Simon" if Ricky Simon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Montel Jackson at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $211K.

Methodology

We track UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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