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UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)

Live odds for "UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% O/U 2.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $272K Liquidity: $350 Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Fight won by decision?50%
Andrusca in Round 350%
Decision or Draw50%
Ends before Round 3?15%
Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Wood to win by KO/TKO?0%
Andrusca to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Wood in Round 10%
Wood in Round 20%
Wood in Round 30%
Andrusca in Round 10%
Andrusca in Round 20%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: nathaniel wood vs. pavel andrusca (featherweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Nathaniel Wood" if Nathaniel Wood is officially declared the winner of the fight against Pavel Andrusca at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5,…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight to Go the Distance? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)".

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $272K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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