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UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Brener to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $331K Liquidity: $543K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Brener to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Ends before Round 2?100%
Ends before Round 3?100%
Brener in Round 1100%
Harrell to win by KO/TKO?1%
Brener in Round 21%
Brener in Round 31%
Harrell in Round 11%
Harrell in Round 21%
Harrell in Round 31%
Decision or Draw1%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by decision?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: elves brener vs. josiah harrell (lightweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Elves Brener" if Elves Brener is officially declared the winner of the fight against Josiah Harrell at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26,…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)".

Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $331K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Li… on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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