Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Tromsø IL O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Tromsø IL O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Tromsø IL (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) | 0% |
| Tromsø IL (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
Market context
Tromsø IL host FC Hradec Králové in a UEFA Europa League match at Romssa Arena, with kick-off listed for 19:00 local time on 23 July 2026.[1] For a “more markets” contract, the practical read is that settlement depends on whether the event page ultimately exposes additional sub-markets around the fixture, rather than on the football result itself.[1]
A 0% crowd-implied price usually reflects a market that has not yet been activated, not a strong view that no extra markets will appear. In comparable fixtures, more-markets contracts tend to stay pinned near zero until the operator publishes the market slate close to kick-off, at which point pricing can re-rate quickly if props, totals, or team-specific derivative markets are added. For a programmatic workflow, that means watching the event metadata feed and polling for changes in market count, market types, and status flags rather than relying on the match page alone.
The main catalysts are operational: official competition listings, any last-minute schedule change, and whether the exchange or venue feed updates the game from preview state to fully listed market state before the settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC. A trader automating this would typically monitor the fixture ID, compare the open market set against prior snapshots, and trigger alerts if the platform adds any derivative price lines after team sheets or final confirmations are posted.
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page reviews Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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