Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Shamrock Rovers FC faced Floriana FC in a UEFA Champions League qualifier on 7 July 2026, with Floriana securing a 2–0 victory. The match concluded with two total goals, confirming the under-2.5 outcome and validating Floriana’s win at +300 odds [1][2]. This result is now the settled real-world event underpinning the “More Markets” prediction contract, which carries a 100% YES crowd-implied probability because the game has already finished.

Historically, prediction markets tied to completed fixtures that show 100% implied probability reflect post-event certainty rather than predictive uncertainty. Comparable cases in sports markets—such as post-match totals or winner contracts settled after the final whistle—always resolve at 100% once the outcome is official, with no further volatility. The current probability does not indicate a forecast but confirms the market’s settlement status, a pattern consistent across resolved UEFA Champions League qualifiers where the result is already recorded in official scorelines [1].

Traders evaluating this market programmatically should monitor the settlement timestamp (2026-07-14T19:00:00Z) and verify the official match report against live score feeds to confirm no late disqualifications or administrative reversals. Since the game ended days ago, the only catalyst is the formal confirmation by UEFA or the platform’s resolution engine. Recent coverage from Fox Sports confirms the final score and goal total, eliminating ambiguity on the outcome [2]. For copy-trading bots or conditional order scripts, this market is a static settlement case: no live data feeds, no pending announcements, and no dependency on future events.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.