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SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

SSC Napoli 3 - 1 Arsenal FC 30% SSC Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal FC 25% SSC Napoli 0 - 0 Arsenal FC 21% SSC Napoli 3 - 0 Arsenal FC 18% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $166K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
30% 70% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
30% 70% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
SSC Napoli 3 - 1 Arsenal FC30%
SSC Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal FC25%
SSC Napoli 0 - 0 Arsenal FC21%
SSC Napoli 3 - 0 Arsenal FC18%
SSC Napoli 0 - 2 Arsenal FC13%
SSC Napoli 1 - 1 Arsenal FC12%
SSC Napoli 1 - 0 Arsenal FC10%
SSC Napoli 1 - 2 Arsenal FC6%
SSC Napoli 0 - 3 Arsenal FC5%
SSC Napoli 2 - 1 Arsenal FC3%
SSC Napoli 2 - 0 Arsenal FC2%
SSC Napoli 1 - 3 Arsenal FC2%
Any Other Score2%
SSC Napoli 2 - 2 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 3 - 2 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 3 - 3 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 2 - 3 Arsenal FC0%

Market context

Market consensus: 30% chance of ssc napoli vs. arsenal fc - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between SSC Napoli and Arsenal FC, scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of th…

Methodology

This page reviews SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

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