Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| GAIS (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| GAIS O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| GAIS O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| GAIS 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| GAIS 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Halmstads BK (-1.5) | 0% |
| Halmstads BK (-2.5) | 0% |
| GAIS (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| GAIS O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| GAIS 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| GAIS 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Halmstads BK play GAIS in Allsvenskan, with the market settled on whether there will be **more markets** attached to the fixture before the window closes. The current **0% YES** crowd price implies no active demand is being assigned to extra derivatives yet, which is common when the underlying match slate is already close to kick-off and nothing material has been signalled through the market feed.
For reading that 0% level programmatically, the best historical frame is that Halmstads and GAIS have often produced tightly balanced meetings, with one database showing 32 head-to-heads since 2005 split 11 GAIS wins, 10 Halmstads wins and 11 draws[1], while another recent summary shows the last four league meetings producing 15 total goals and results swinging sharply between 3-0, 1-3, 3-1 and 4-0[9]. That pattern matters for tooling because “more markets” listings tend to be driven by whether a fixture still has enough live interest, distinct pricing surface, or unresolved event metadata to justify extra contracts rather than by the scoreline alone[8][14].
A trader watching this like an automation problem would monitor whether the match page, league schedule, and any pre-match line-up or odds refreshes trigger new sub-markets, because these products often depend on late-breaking team news or a venue/schedule update rather than historic form[11][14][15]. Recent match feeds also show Halmstads and GAIS were already active in Allsvenskan in late July and early August, so any further market creation would most likely come from a platform-side update before settlement rather than from on-pitch developments at this point[8][14].
Methodology
This page reviews Halmstads BK vs. GAIS - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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