BK Hacken vs. AIK - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

BK Hacken and AIK meet in Allsvenskan on 27 July 2026, with the match kicking off at 1:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures the majority of football matches given the combinatorial explosion of possible scorelines.

The 3% implied probability reflects the mathematical rarity of exact-score prediction in football rather than a fundamental mismatch in team quality. Exact-score markets across European leagues historically show that even heavily favoured outcomes rarely exceed 8–12% probability when broken into individual scorelines. A 1–0 or 2–1 result might individually trade at 15–20%, but the listed options here appear granular enough that no single outcome dominates. Historical data from Allsvenskan suggests AIK (the stronger side historically) wins roughly 40–45% of fixtures, but that distributed across five or six plausible scorelines yields individual probabilities well below the 3% threshold currently displayed.

Traders implementing conditional orders or algorithmic monitoring should track team news through official Allsvenskan channels and club announcements in the week preceding the fixture. Injury status, particularly for key forwards or defensive players, shifts the modal outcome noticeably. Weather conditions on match day—wind and rain are common in Swedish summer fixtures—can suppress goal totals. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-match for official confirmation before resolution locks.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.